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Tense But Hopeful: Carney Meets Trump to Rescue Canada-US Ties Amid Trade Turmoil

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In a high-stakes diplomatic move, newly elected Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney met with U.S. President Donald Trump at the White House on Tuesday in a bid to mend what many see as a fractured Canada-U.S. relationship. The first face-to-face meeting between the two leaders comes just days after Carney’s Liberal Party swept to victory in Canada’s April 28 general elections on promises to stand firm against Trump’s aggressive trade measures.

The meeting marked a critical moment in North American politics. Carney, a former central banker with no prior political experience, was chosen to lead the Liberals in March following the resignation of former Prime Minister Justin Trudeau. Trudeau’s tense rapport with Trump is well-documented, but Carney aims for a more constructive – if cautious – reset.

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“It’s important to engage early and clearly,” Carney said in a press briefing before his Washington trip. “I expect the discussions to be difficult but constructive. There won’t be any dramatic breakthroughs today.”

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And expectations were indeed tempered. Carney downplayed the chances of any major announcements, telling reporters, “Don’t expect white smoke from the meeting,” using the Vatican’s tradition to emphasize the uncertainty surrounding negotiations.

Trade tensions between the two nations have reached new heights. In March, Trump imposed sweeping 25% tariffs on Canadian steel and aluminum and followed up with similar duties on auto imports that don’t meet USMCA standards. Most recently, he shocked the film industry by threatening a 100% tariff on all movies produced outside the U.S., a move that could significantly harm Canada’s thriving media sector.

Trump, never shy on social media, posted ahead of the meeting:

“I look forward to meeting the new Prime Minister of Canada, Mark Carney. I very much want to work with him, but I cannot understand one simple TRUTH — Why is America subsidizing Canada by $200 Billion a year, along with FREE Military Protection? We don’t need their Cars, their Energy, or their Lumber — only their friendship.”

Despite the rhetoric, the economic ties remain deep. Canada is the second-largest U.S. trading partner after Mexico, and the two countries exchanged over $760 billion worth of goods in 2024. While Canada has run a trade surplus exceeding $60 billion in the past two years, much of that is due to its role as America’s top oil supplier.

Data from the U.S. Commerce Department revealed that Canada’s goods trade surplus with the U.S. dropped to a five-month low in March — the same month the new steel and aluminum tariffs came into effect. Canadian exports to the U.S. declined by a staggering $3.7 billion, the second-largest monthly drop ever recorded. However, Canadian businesses have started pivoting to other global markets to reduce their dependency on American trade.

This first meeting between Carney and Trump may not result in policy shifts immediately, but it signals a fresh chapter — one that could stabilize or further strain one of the world’s most important bilateral relationships.

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